|
''The Signal and the Noise : Why Most Predictions Fail – but Some Don't'' (alternatively stylized as ''The Signal and the Noise : Why So Many Predictions Fail – but Some Don't'') is a book by Nate Silver detailing the art of using probability and statistics as applied to real-world circumstances. == Release and sales == Published in the United States on September 27, 2012, ''The Signal and The Noise'' reached the ''New York Times'' Best Sellers list as #12 for non-fiction hardback books after its first week in print. It dropped to #20 in the second week, before rising to #13 in the third, and remaining on the non-fiction hardback top 15 list for the following thirteen weeks, with a highest weekly ranking of #4.〔(New York Times Best Sellers List )〕 The book's already strong sales soared right after election night, November 6, jumping 800% and becoming the second best seller on Amazon.com.〔Jason Notte, "Nate Silver sees soaring Amazon book sales: The FiveThirty Eight blogger's confident and steadfast Obama forecast gets readers curious and critics furious", (''MSN Money,'' November 8, 2012 ).〕 ''The Signal and the Noise'' (print edition) was named Amazon's #1 Best NonFiction Book for 2012.〔(Amazon Best Non-Fiction Book of Year 2012. )〕 It was named by the ''Wall Street Journal'' as one of the ten best books of nonfiction published in 2012.〔"The Best Nonfiction of 2012," ''Wall Street Journal,'' (December 14, 2012 ).〕 The book was first released in the United Kingdom in April 2013, with the title ''The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction,'' in hardback under an Allen Lane imprint 〔(UK hardback Edition, Allen Lane, 2013 ) ISBN 978-1846147524.〕 and in paperback under a Penguin imprint.〔(UK paperback edition, Penguin, 2013 ) ISBN 978-0141975658.〕 It was published in Brazil in a Portuguese translation, ''O sinal e o ruído'', in June 2013.〔(''O sinal e o ruído'' ). ASIN: B00DD0E3A2.〕 A German edition was released in September 2013 by the publisher Heine Verlag, using a somewhat different main title: ''The Calculation of the Future''.〔Full German Title: ''Die Berechnung der Zukunft: Warum die meisten Prognosen falsch sind und manche trotzdem zutreffen.'' (ISBN 978-3453200487 ).〕 An Italian version, ''Il segnale e il rumore. Arte e scienza della previsione,'' appeared in October 2013.〔''Il segnale e il rumore. Arte e scienza della previsione,'' Fandango Libri (). ISBN 978-8860443861. (Italian paperback edition ).〕 The book was published in simplified Chinese characters by China Citic Press in Beijing〔ISBN 978-7-5086-4114-0.〕 as well as in traditional Chinese characters by Suncolor Press in Taipei〔ISBN 978-986-229-960-9.〕 in Fall 2013. It was published in Japanese in November 2013.〔Japanese edition: ISBN 978-4822249809.〕 A Spanish translation appeared in April 2014, under the title ''La señal y el ruido.''〔Spanish edition: ISBN 978-8499423081. Cited in: (Amazon.es ).〕 In 2013, an edition was published in Romanian by Publica press: ''Semnalul și zgomotul: de ce atât de multe predicții dau greș - pe când altele reușesc.''〔Romanian edition: (ISBN 978-606-8360-58-4 ).〕 In May 2014, an edition was published in Czech: ''Signál a šum. Většina předpovědí selže. Některé ne''.〔(ISBN 978-80-7432-440-6 ).〕 A Polish edition was scheduled for publication in hardcover in 2015 by Helion: ''Sygnal i szum: Sztuka prognozowania w erze technologii''.〔Nate Silver, ''Sygnal i szum: Sztuka prognozowania w erze technologii'' (and Noise: The Art of Forecasting in the Era of Technology'' ), ISBN 978-8324691227.〕 ''The Signal and the Noise'' was first published in paperback in the United States on February 3, 2015.〔U.S. paperback edition ISBN 978-0143125082.〕 It contained a new introduction.〔Noah Gordon, "Do We Want to Believe the Numbers? A Q&A With Nate Silver The FiveThirtyEight founder on broken-windows policing, Max Scherzer, and foxes in the Oval Office, ''The Atlantic,'' (February 4, 2005 ).〕 It reached ''The New York Times'' paperback best seller list, ranked #4 in the field of Education in March 2015.〔"Best Sellers," (''The New York Times,'' March 1, 2015 ).〕 抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア（Wikipedia）』 ■ウィキペディアで「The Signal and the Noise」の詳細全文を読む スポンサード リンク
|